A New Poll Shows that Defending abortion is not the killer issue Democrats thought would save them from voters in November

Politico published in May a draft of Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito’s decision in Dobbs. Whole Women’s Health Politico publishes leaked draft of Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito’s decision in Dobbs vs. When it was published, in June, that decision demolished any pseudo-legal foundation for abortion.

Pro – abortions were protested across the nation and at Justice Brett Kavanaugh’s house.

While the purple-haired group was shouting out in their impotent rages, more savvy observers of American politics saw that the Democrat Party had just what it needed to counter the terrible mismanagement of America at Joe Biden’s hands. If Americans were torqued about “supply chain” breakdowns, no baby formula (Joe Biden Invokes Defense Production Act to Try to Fix the Baby Formula Shortage His Henchmen Created), gas increasing by $3/gallon in 18 months, and businesses crushed by COVID lockdowns, by gosh, the very thing to take their mind off that string of catastrophes was the right to kill infants. READ MORE: CNN polling expert puts the “Ow” in “Ouch!” for Democrats, explaining just how bad it is.

The Washington Post

Supporters of abortion rights and their Democratic allies predicted that the thunderclap heard Monday night with Politico’s publication of a leaked draft opinion by Justice Samuel A. Alito Jr. would reverberate through to the fall campaign and possibly beyond.

This, they claimed, could turn an election which so far appears to have been a referendum of President Biden’s party into a choice among Democratic or Republican governance. This could reduce the enthusiasm gap favoring Republicans and eventually hold back expected GOP gains.

” The right would like to push this further, and this is a concern for me. It will lead to something that’s very dangerous for Americans. Gender politics have been somewhat muted over the past few years. This brings it to the fore and it will be dramatically different than what we’ve seen for a long time.”

Bloomberg:

Abortion-rights supporters are more galvanized than opponents by the prospect of the Supreme Court overturning Roe v. Wade, a new poll found, hinting at how a leaked draft opinion may shape the midterm elections.

USA Today:

At a time President Joe Biden has had his approval ratings plummeting for months, leaked opinions and the possibility of Roe v. Wade being overturned by the Supreme Court may energize Democratic voters and allow Democrats a better chance of retaining control of Congress. Some experts believe that this could help to reenergize Democratic voters and provide them with a greater chance of winning. Interviews with pro-abortion activists indicate that their supporters will be motivated, as well.

” I think that the wholesale reversal in Roe is an opportunity for a big win,” stated David Axelrod a leading Democratic consultant, former chief strategist and senior advisor to President Barack Obama. The Democrats are faced with ferocious headwinds in this fall. But if the court follows through on this, the backlash could provide some counterweight – particularly if it brings more pro-choice women and younger voters to the polls.”

A month after the Dobbs decision, we are getting a clearer picture of the effects of that decision on the 2022 elections. From a Washington Post article headlined Americans dismayed at end of Roe are less certain they will vote, poll finds:

Nearly two-thirds of Americans say the end of Roe v. Wade represents a “major loss of rights” for women, a Washington Post-Schar School poll finds, but those who support abortion access are less certain they will vote this fall — a sign of the challenges facing Democrats who hope the issue will motivate their base in the midterms.

Although a lot of it doesn’t make sense it is still worth reading.

But the poll also provides evidence of an enthusiasm problem for Democrats: Those who reject the idea that the court’s ruling is a loss for women are 18 percentage points more likely to express certainty they will vote in the midterms — 70 percent compared with 52 percent of those who do see such a loss, according to the Post-Schar School poll conducted July 22 to 24.

Democrats and women, especially younger women, are particularly uncertain they will vote. About 1 in 3 women under 40 are sure they will cast a ballot even as they have strong concerns about rollbacks in abortion access.

“Is the discontent with Democratic Party leadership and policies generally so deep that those most affected by the court decision … still plan to sit out this election?” said Mark Rozell, dean of the Schar School of Policy and Government at George Mason University, who worked on the poll. I struggle to understand this disconnect .”

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That “abortion intensity” isn’t working out all that well in the face of nearly $5/gal gas and 9% inflation. pic.twitter.com/nKco2E2COG

— streiff (@streiffredstate) July 29, 2022

A lot of things could happen between now, and November. The GOP’s leadership is made up of grifters and cretins who can turn any wet fantasy into an apocalyptic nightmare. It is clear that the pro-life message is still relevant. The people who opposed abortion for the last 50 years are just as fired up to stamp out this hideous fake medical procedure as they ever were, perhaps more so now that we are making real progress. Even more telling is the fact that most people who claim they were injured by Dobbs aren’t angry, but are demoralized and defeated. It is not possible to fall into triumphalism. There are a lot more work needed to save this country from Biden’s cronies. But we don’t need to be afraid of losing votes, because the Supreme Court has done the right thing.

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